Reducing tree volume overestimation in quantitative structure models using modeled branch topology and direct twig measurements

Abstract Quantitative Structure Models (QSMs) are fit to tree point clouds to represent the topology of trees as a network of cylinders. QSMs allow for the calculation of metrics difficult to measure without destructive sampling, including total tree volume. Current limitations in terrestrial laser scanning technology make small branches difficult to accurately resolve, causing overestimation of small branch volume in QSMs, which can translate into overestimating tree biomass. We present a new method called Real Twig to correct overestimated small branch and twig cylinders in QSMs. Real Twig differs from current methods by using twig diameters measured directly from corresponding tree species to model a unique taper for every path in the QSM, using the QSM’s inherent branching topology, but without relying on predefined mathematical or allometric relationships. To test Real Twig, we generated QSMs for different sets of trees that had detailed dry mass and density measurements obtained via felling after scanning. QSM-based biomass estimates were obtained by multiplying the tree’s QSM-based volume estimate by the tree’s specific basic density value. We trained our method with high-quality data consisting of five northern red oak (Quercus rubra L.) and five red maple (Acer rubrum L.) trees, using two different versions of TreeQSM, a widely used algorithm for generating QSMs. We further tested our method on three publicly available datasets, including managed forests and large tropical trees, collected with both phase-shift or time-of-flight sensors. QSMs corrected with our Real Twig method showed a very large improvement in tree biomass estimation, with a relative mean error of −1.2%, a relative root mean square error of 10.5%, and a concordance correlation coefficient of 0.999, compared to a relative mean error 76.8%, a relative root mean square error of 48.7%, and a concordance correlation coefficient of 0.982, when using the standard outputs of TreeQSM.