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September 1, 2024The Lancet3,511 citationsOpen Access

Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

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MNMohsen NaghaviDSDan J. SteinKIKevin S Ikuta

Key Points

  • To evaluate the global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance from 1990 through 2021 and forecast its impact on global health through 2050.
  • Conducted a systematic global burden assessment of bacterial antimicrobial resistance spanning 1990 to 2021.
  • Applied statistical forecasting models to project future mortality and disease burden attributable to drug-resistant bacterial pathogens through 2050.
  • Quantified multi-decade historical trajectories and mortality burdens associated with major resistant bacterial pathogens globally from 1990 to 2021.
  • Projected substantial increases in global deaths attributable to and associated with bacterial antimicrobial resistance by 2050.

Abstract

UK Department of Health and Social Care's Fleming Fund using UK aid, and the Wellcome Trust.

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Cite This Study

Naghavi et al. (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/695d972bc9bd6ee9936c837ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(24)01867-1
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