Abstract Background A global decline in pediatric community-acquired alveolar pneumonia (CAAP) followed PCV implementation. We used 15 years of population-based active surveillance on pediatric CAAP to assess the impact of age, population, and clinical status on averted episodes. Methods This is an ongoing, population-based active surveillance of CAAP-related hospital utilization in children 60 months, initiated in 2004 (Ben-Shimol, CID, 2020;71;1770). All CAAP-related hospital visits in southern Israel were included. CAAP was radiographically confirmed by consensus reading. Hospital visits were classified as hospitalized or outpatient. A negative binomial model based on monthly cases assessed PCV13 impact. Two populations reside in our region: Jewish (high/middle SES) and Bedouins (low/middle SES). Epidemiologic years ran July-June. Study periods: Pre-PCV (2004–09), PCV7/13 (2009–11), Early PCV13 (2011–15), Late PCV13 (2015–19). Mean annual averted episodes were determined by subtracting the observed mean annual incidence rates from the expected rates (and 95% CI) during late PCV13. Results We studied 11,310 episodes (3,677 outpatient; 7,633 hospitalizations). During the late PCV13 period, rate reduction was significantly greater in outpatients (67%; 95% CI 62-71%) vs. inpatients (47%; 95% CI 41-54%)) (Figure 1, Table 1). Similar patterns were seen across ages and both populations. However, baseline hospitalized and outpatient rates differed by age and population, leading to marked differences in averted episode rates (Table 2, Figure 2) The largest mean annual reduction/1,000 was in hospitalized Bedouins 12m (13.29 vs. 1.39 in Jews; 9.6-fold), followed by Bedouins 12–23m (6.67 vs 2.60; 2.6-fold). Overall averted hospital visits for CAAP spanning the first 5 years of life were ∼4.4% and 2.9% of the Bedouin and Jewish children, respectively. Conclusion PCV implementation in Israel, averted a large number of hospital visits for outpatient and hospitalized CAAP episodes in early childhood. Impact was greatest among the most vulnerable population and age groups, constituting an important step toward equity by vaccination. Disclosures Ron Dagan, Professor MD, GSK: Advisor/Consultant|GSK: Honoraria|Medimmune/AstraZeneca: Grant/Research Support|Medimmune/AstraZeneca: Honoraria|MSD: Advisor/Consultant|MSD: Grant/Research Support|MSD: Honoraria|Pfizer: Advisor/Consultant|Pfizer: Grant/Research Support|Pfizer: Honoraria|Sanofi pasteur: Honoraria David Greenberg, Professor MD, GSK: Advisor/Consultant|GSK: Honoraria|MSD: Advisor/Consultant|MSD: Grant/Research Support|MSD: Honoraria|Pfizer: Advisor/Consultant|Pfizer: Honoraria
Dagan et al. (Thu,) studied this question.