Drawing on the coding framework, the analysis identifies two overarching forces shaping CMSC pilot implementation: institutional compatibility and policy potential energy. Institutional compatibility reflects the alignment of CMSC policy design, healthcare insurance payment rules, interdepartmental coordination, incentive structures, and resource-benefit allocation. Policy potential energy derives from the redistribution of administrative power, political momentum from higher-level governments, the capacity of policy entrepreneurs, and the contextual foundations of social capital and trust. Mapping these dynamics reveals four pilot trajectories: upscaling, adjustment, suspension, and autonomy.
Xiao et al. (Thu,) studied this question.