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Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty | Synapse
March 3, 2026
Open Access
Inflation expectations and cognitive uncertainty
JB
Joscha Beckmann
JB
Jennifer Brunne
TH
Timo Heinrich
Key Points
Cognitive uncertainty significantly influences inflation expectations in markets, affecting economic behaviors.
A notable finding indicates a 30% variation in predictive accuracy linked to cognitive uncertainty.
Analysis of economic models reveals insights into how expectations shape financial outcomes.
The results suggest that addressing cognitive factors in inflation models may improve prediction accuracy.
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Beckmann et al. (Thu,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69a761ecc6e9836116a30046
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15480/882.16719
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