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March 12, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Methodological Assessment of Public Health Surveillance Systems in South Africa Using Panel Data for Risk Reduction Measurement

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TNThembisile NgubaneUniversity of LimpopoSMSibusiso Mkhize

Key Points

  • This research aims to evaluate the effectiveness of public health surveillance systems in South Africa in reducing disease incidence.
  • Employed a mixed-method approach using panel data.
  • Utilized logistic regression models to assess intervention impact.
  • Calculated the effectiveness of public health interventions based on disease trends.
  • 35% of interventions by public health agencies effectively lowered disease risk compared to baseline levels.
  • Standard errors were robust, with a margin of error not exceeding ±5%.
  • Insights provided for policymakers on optimizing public health strategies.

Abstract

Public health surveillance systems in South Africa play a crucial role in monitoring disease trends and implementing effective interventions. A mixed-method approach was employed using panel data. The study utilised logistic regression models for estimating the impact of surveillance efforts on reducing disease incidence. The findings indicate that a significant proportion (35%) of interventions implemented by public health agencies were effective in lowering the risk of certain diseases compared to baseline levels, with robust standard errors indicating a margin of error not exceeding ±5%. The study contributes novel insights into the effectiveness of South African public health surveillance systems and provides evidence for policymakers on optimising intervention strategies. Policymakers should prioritise continuous evaluation and integration of feedback loops within existing surveillance frameworks to enhance their efficiency in risk reduction. Treatment effect was estimated with logit (pᵢ) =₀+^ Xᵢ, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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Cite This Study

Ngubane et al. (2011) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b257df96eeacc4fcec6ddbhttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18919476
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