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March 12, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Methodological Evaluation of Rural Clinics Systems in Nigeria Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcomes Measurement

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UNUche NnyaliokpalaCOChinwe Odiribeọ

Key Points

  • The aim is to evaluate and improve clinical outcomes at rural clinics in Nigeria using time-series forecasting models.
  • Conducted a systematic review of literature using databases such as PubMed and Scopus
  • Selected studies based on criteria related to rural clinic systems in Nigeria
  • Analyzed the effectiveness of ARIMA models in forecasting outpatient visits
  • ARIMA models showed significant improvements in forecasting accuracy for outpatient visits
  • Achieved an average reduction of 15% in forecast errors compared to previous methods
  • Emphasized the need for training staff on ARIMA applications in rural clinics

Abstract

Rural clinics in Nigeria face challenges in maintaining consistent clinical outcomes due to resource limitations. A systematic review of existing literature was conducted using databases such as PubMed and Scopus. Studies were selected based on inclusion criteria related to rural clinic systems in Nigeria. The analysis identified a trend where the use of ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) models showed significant improvement in forecasting accuracy for outpatient visits, with an average reduction of 15% in forecast errors over previous methods. Time-series forecasting models, particularly ARIMA, offer a robust method for rural clinics to enhance clinical outcome measurement and resource allocation strategies. Rural health authorities should invest in training staff on the application of ARIMA models and encourage their adoption across all clinics to improve service delivery and patient outcomes. rural clinics, Nigeria, clinical outcomes, time-series forecasting, ARIMA model Treatment effect was estimated with logit (pᵢ) =₀+^ Xᵢ, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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Cite This Study

Nnyaliokpala et al. (2011) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69b2583896eeacc4fcec79b4https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18930060
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