Climate change impacts on sustainable agriculture: Evidence from Armenia

This article explores climate change and its possible impact on the agrarian sector of Armenia through correlation analysis. As a country heavily reliant on agriculture for economic stability and food security, Armenia faces significant challenges due to shifting climatic patterns. By analyzing historical climate data and agricultural productivity metrics from the past decades, the study identifies correlations between rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and gross product metrics. Additionally, the research explores how the dynamics of these climatic factors changed through time and what implications those changes possess for the future. Findings reveal that animal husbandry is particularly vulnerable to climate variability, highlighting the need for adaptive strategies to mitigate risks. The article concludes with the idea that scientific research related to climate change should be aimed at the development of adaptation and prevention policies in the future. • The correlation coefficient between the indicators of the gross output of the industry and the amount of rainfall is -0.31, which indicates a mean, inverse relationship. • The values of the correlation coefficients in terms of the gross agriculture and horticulture products speak of a weak connection, that is, in RA, except for animal husbandry, climate changes in terms of precipitation reduction have not yet led to negative developments in agricultural production. • The effects of climate change on the RA agrarian sector are definitely difficult to assess at present, almost all types of studies point to the negative consequences of climate change in the long term.