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Stephen Ansolabehere, James M. Snyder, Jr., Charles Stewart, III, Old Voters, New Voters, and the Personal Vote: Using Redistricting to Measure the Incumbency Advantage, American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 44, No. 1 (Jan., 2000), pp. 17-34
Ansolabehere et al. (Sat,) studied this question.
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