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December 16, 2015Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja1,328 citationsOpen Access

Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe

COCatherine M. O’ReillySSSapna SharmaDGDerek K. Gray

Key Points

  • To synthesize global in situ and satellite observations of lake summer surface water temperatures and determine the climatic and physical drivers of warming trends.
  • Synthesized worldwide in situ measurements and satellite-derived surface water temperature records spanning 1985 to 2009.
  • Evaluated summer warming rates across global lakes in relation to geographic location and local climatic variables, including air temperature, solar radiation, and cloud cover.
  • Lake summer surface water temperatures rose globally at a mean rate of 0.34°C decade⁻¹ between 1985 and 2009.
  • Warming was fastest in seasonally ice-covered lakes experiencing increased temperature and solar radiation alongside diminished cloud cover (0.72°C decade⁻¹), and in ice-free lakes with increasing air temperature and solar radiation (0.53°C decade⁻¹).
  • Regional consistency in warming was rare, demonstrating that warming rates depend heavily on interactions between climate drivers and local lake characteristics rather than geographic location alone.

Abstract

Abstract In this first worldwide synthesis of in situ and satellite‐derived lake data, we find that lake summer surface water temperatures rose rapidly (global mean = 0.34°C decade −1 ) between 1985 and 2009. Our analyses show that surface water warming rates are dependent on combinations of climate and local characteristics, rather than just lake location, leading to the counterintuitive result that regional consistency in lake warming is the exception, rather than the rule. The most rapidly warming lakes are widely geographically distributed, and their warming is associated with interactions among different climatic factors—from seasonally ice‐covered lakes in areas where temperature and solar radiation are increasing while cloud cover is diminishing (0.72°C decade −1 ) to ice‐free lakes experiencing increases in air temperature and solar radiation (0.53°C decade −1 ). The pervasive and rapid warming observed here signals the urgent need to incorporate climate impacts into vulnerability assessments and adaptation efforts for lakes.

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Cite This Study

O’Reilly et al. (2015) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a116a57491449737b608a72https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl066235
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