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May 28, 2026Calcutta Statistical Association Bulletin0 citations

Aspiration-driven Mobility: A Statistical Approach

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AGArindam GuptaABArgha Nath Bhattacharyya

Key Points

  • This study aims to create a measure for mobility based on aspirations influencing migration.
  • Developed a model for migration using employment, education, and living standards as variables.
  • Conducted a simulation study to evaluate the distribution of the new measure under various holding time distributions.
  • Analyzed a real-life data set to assess the practical application of the measure across different age groups.
  • The new aspirational migration measure effectively reflects individual mobility motivations.
  • Simulation results show varied patterns of migration influenced by aspiration across age groups.
  • Finding suggests potential for improved regional policies based on aspirations.

Abstract

One of the most important factors in determining a person’s demographic and economic standing in various migration regions is their movement, which is motivated by their professional prospects and socio-economic advancement. Aspiration is also a major factor in migration for an individual. However, a proper measure for this remains elusive. In this study, we aim to develop a new measure for mobility based on aspiration. Employment prospects, education and living standards are three elements that influence migration, according to individual socio-economic surveys. With the aid of these variables, we developed a model that captures the driving forces behind migration. Migration via aspiration: It is not always necessary to demonstrate upward mobility; occasionally, it is motivated by a person’s objectives, performance and long-term aspirations, which also vary depending on the situation and stage of life. This article focuses on methods for quantifying aspiration-based migration. To assess the distributional pattern of our suggested measure under different holding time distributions, we conducted a simulation study in this article. The practical component of the measure, which also focuses on the two different age groups, is examined by analyzing a real-life data set at the end of this study. To help policymakers address various regional issues and create new plans, this new aspirational migration measure provides a more realistic framework for the migration model. AMS Subject Classification: 60K15, 60J25, 62P25, 91D10

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Cite This Study

Gupta et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a17de013fad632b0f9da8aehttps://doi.org/10.1177/00080683261443110
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