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Abstract: This paper provides an in-depth exploration of the shift and development of Russia's foreign policy towards Africa over the decade from 2014 to 2024. By integrating the frameworks of structural realism and power transition theory, this study offers a comprehensive analysis of the motivations behind Russia's adjustments to its global strategy in response to Western sanctions, with a particular focus on economic, political, and security considerations demonstrated through its diplomatic engagements with African countries. The research reveals that, confronted by U.S. and European sanctions as well as growing international isolation, Russia gradually redirected its diplomatic efforts towards Africa in an attempt to bolster its influence in the evolving global power structure. Through strengthening its economic partnerships, enhancing military cooperation, and building political alliances with African nations, Russia has not only alleviated its isolated position within the Western-dominated international system but has also contributed to advancing the process of global multipolarity. This paper further evaluates both the achievements and the ongoing challenges in the development of Russia-Africa relations over this period, shedding light on key areas such as trade, security collaboration, and political discourse. Additionally, the paper looks forward to potential future developments in this geopolitical relationship, identifying key trends and obstacles that are likely to shape the direction of Russian foreign policy towards Africa in the coming years. Overall, this research offers a novel theoretical perspective that enriches the understanding of strategic decision-making within the global system, while also contributing to broader studies of great power competition, diplomatic realignment, and the transformation of foreign policy strategies in an increasingly multipolar world.
Xue et al. (Mon,) studied this question.