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June 30, 2026Journal of the American College of Cardiology493 citations

Quantitative Evaluation of Drug or Device Effects on Ventricular Remodeling as Predictors of Therapeutic Effects on Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction

DKDaniel G. KramerTTThomas A TrikalinosDKDavid M. Kent

Key Result

Short-term therapeutic improvements in LVEF (r=-0.51, p<0.001), EDV, and ESV are significantly correlated with longer-term reductions in mortality in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

Key Points

  • This research aims to assess how changes in left ventricular remodeling predict long-term outcomes in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.
  • Conducted searches for randomized controlled trials studying drug/device effects on mortality and remodeling in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.
  • Included 30 mortality trials and 88 remodeling trials involving 25 therapies with 69,766 and 19,921 patients, respectively.
  • Analyzed the correlation of odds ratios for death with changes in left ventricular ejection fraction, end-diastolic volume, and end-systolic volume.
  • The odds ratio for death correlated with LVEF (r = −0.51, p < 0.001), EDV (r = 0.44, p = 0.002), and ESV (r = 0.48, p = 0.002).
  • Increased LVEF and decreased EDV and ESV were associated with favorable mortality outcomes in the remodeling trials.
  • Short-term effects of therapy on LV remodeling predict longer-term mortality outcomes in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

Study Design

Type

Meta-Analysis (n=89,687)

Structured PICO

Do short-term therapy-induced changes in left ventricular remodeling predict long-term mortality effects in patients with left ventricular dysfunction?

P
Population
Meta-analysis of 30 mortality trials (n=69,766) and 88 remodeling trials (n=19,921) evaluating drug or device therapies in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.
I
Intervention
Drug or device therapies for left ventricular dysfunction.
C
Comparator
Control groups from the respective randomized controlled trials.
O
Outcome
Correlation between therapy-induced changes in left ventricular remodeling (LVEF, EDV, ESV) and odds ratios for mortality.surrogate

Short-term trial-level therapeutic effects on left ventricular remodeling (LVEF, EDV, ESV) are significantly associated with longer-term trial-level effects on mortality in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

Main Result

Effect estimate: r = -0.51

p-value: p=<0.001

Abstract

Objectives The purpose of this study was to quantitatively assess the relationship between therapy-induced changes in left ventricular (LV) remodeling and longer-term outcomes in patients with left ventricular dysfunction (LVD). Background Whether therapy-induced changes in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), end-diastolic volume (EDV), and end-systolic volume (ESV) are predictors of mortality in patients with LVD is not established. Methods Searches for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were conducted to identify drug or device therapies for which an effect on mortality in patients with LVD was studied in at least 1 RCT of ≥500 patients (mortality trials). Then, all RCTs involving those therapies were identified in patients with LVD that described changes in LVEF and/or volumes over time (remodeling trials). We examined whether the magnitude of remodeling effects is associated with the odds ratios for death across all therapies or associated with whether the odds ratio for mortality was favorable, neutral, or adverse (i.e., statistically significantly decreased, nonsignificant, or statistically significantly increased odds for mortality, respectively). Results Included were 30 mortality trials of 25 drug/device therapies (n = 69,766 patients; median follow-up 17 months) and 88 remodeling trials of the same therapies (n = 19,921 patients; median follow-up 6 months). The odds ratio for death in the mortality trials was correlated with drug/device effects on LVEF (r = −0.51, p < 0.001), EDV (r = 0.44, p = 0.002), and ESV (r = 0.48, p = 0.002). In (ordinal) logistic regressions, the odds for neutral or favorable effects in the mortality RCTs increased with mean increases in LVEF and with mean decreases in EDV and ESV in the remodeling trials. Conclusions In patients with LVD, short-term trial-level therapeutic effects of a drug or device on LV remodeling are associated with longer-term trial-level effects on mortality.

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Cite This Study

Kramer et al. (2010) conducted a meta-analysis in Left ventricular dysfunction (n=89,687). Drug or device therapies vs. Control was evaluated on Correlation between drug/device effects on LVEF and odds ratio for death (r = -0.51, p=<0.001). Short-term therapeutic improvements in LVEF (r=-0.51, p<0.001), EDV, and ESV are significantly correlated with longer-term reductions in mortality in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a43de6d798ce7bb980879c1https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2010.05.011
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