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July 3, 2026Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry0 citations

Multivariate Control Charts and Changepoint Detection for Multivariate Functional Data by Nonparametric Conditional Distribution and FPCA

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JKJong‐Min KimSHSun Young Hwang

Key Points

  • The central aim is to enhance changepoint detection in multivariate functional data by addressing inter-variable dependence.
  • Developed a changepoint detection method integrating nonparametric conditional distribution transformations and FPCA.
  • Assessed method effectiveness through simulation studies with controlled change points across varying dependence structures.
  • Evaluated performance based on detection delay, false alarm rates, and localization accuracy.
  • The proposed approach achieved faster detection and improved stability in dependent environments compared to traditional methods.
  • Conditional transformations allowed detection of shifts missed by typical marginal monitoring approaches.
  • Application to high-frequency financial index data confirmed identification of stock-specific regime changes obscured by market variations.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Detecting structural changes in multivariate functional data is difficult when strong dependence and non‐linear relationships obscure persistent shifts. Existing statistical process control and multivariate functional monitoring methods often lose power in such settings due to variance inflation induced by cross‐correlation. This study focuses on improving practical changepoint detection through dependence‐aware preprocessing within a functional monitoring framework. We propose a change point detection method that integrates nonparametric conditional distribution transformations with functional principal component analysis (FPCA). The conditional transformation reduces inter‐variable dependence by standardizing each functional component relative to its conditional distribution, allowing localized dependence changes to emerge more clearly after common variation is removed. FPCA then captures dominant temporal variation, enabling sustained mean and variance shifts to be detected through low‐dimensional score processes. Method effectiveness is assessed through simulation studies with controlled change points under varying dependence structures. Performance is evaluated using detection delay, false alarm rates, and localization accuracy, and compared against established multivariate functional monitoring methods without conditional preprocessing. Both simulations and financial applications show that the conditional framework detects structural shifts missed by conventional marginal monitoring approaches, particularly in strongly correlated environments. The proposed approach consistently achieves faster detection and improved stability in highly dependent settings. An application to high‐frequency financial index data further demonstrates that the framework can identify stock‐specific regime changes obscured by broader market movements.

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Cite This Study

Kim et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a4756705c29257aa257ad3fhttps://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.70116
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