Continuity in Top-of-Atmosphere Earth Radiation Budget Observations

Abstract The Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) Energy Balanced and Filled (EBAF) product combines CERES and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instruments on the Terra and Aqua satellites to create a record of earth radiation budget (ERB) and the associated cloud properties. As the Terra and Aqua orbits are no longer maintained at a fixed mean local time, EBAF recently transitioned to the CERES and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) instruments on NOAA-20 to avoid introducing a time-dependent bias in the record. To ensure smooth transitions between the Terra , combined Terra and Aqua ( Terra + Aqua ), and NOAA-20 portions of the record, regional climatological adjustments derived from the overlap period between missions are applied to anchor the entire record to Terra + Aqua . We estimate the random error in global monthly anomalies following the transitions to be <0.15 W m −2 for top-of-atmosphere (TOA) flux and <0.1% for cloud fraction, much smaller than the standard deviation in the corresponding anomalies. As the number of ERB instruments will decrease from four to one in just 10 years, there is a high probability that a data gap in the EBAF record will occur, making it challenging to maintain continuity. We estimate that there is a 33% probability of a data gap in 2028 and a 60% probability in 2035. Bridging a data gap using computed TOA fluxes from one satellite product and one atmospheric reanalysis results in errors that are a factor of 4 larger than those obtained when there is overlap between successive missions.