The article analyzes the transformation of the United Kingdom’s geopolitical strategy in Central Asia under conditions of a multipolar world order, using Uzbekistan as a case study. British foreign policy is interpreted as a form of adaptive geopolitics of a middle power that has shifted from a universalist approach to selective engagement in the post-Brexit period. Central Asia is characterized as a structurally saturated region with intense competition among external actors, which limits the ability to construct autonomous strategies of influence. Uzbekistan is presented as a structural mediator between different models of external power projection. The article proposes three scenarios for the development of British strategy for the period 2030–2035: selective institutionalization, institutional erosion, and strategic marginalization. It concludes that British strategy is adaptive and constrained, and highly dependent on regional and global dynamics.
Azim Tadjibaev (Tue,) studied this question.