Investigating the predictability limit and forecast error dynamics of summer air temperatures over East Asia using the ensemble forecast dataset from ECMWF | Synapse
March 3, 2026
Investigating the predictability limit and forecast error dynamics of summer air temperatures over East Asia using the ensemble forecast dataset from ECMWF
Key Points
Forecast error dynamics reveal significant variation in predictability limits across seasons and regions.
Average summer air temperature predictability was found to be 75% based on ensemble forecast data.
Observational analysis using ECMWF's ensemble forecast dataset, focusing on East Asia's climate patterns.
Highlights the complexity of seasonal forecasting, indicating that further research is essential for improvement.