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Modeling project criticality in project portfolios: Integration of risk propagation and benefit realization | Synapse
March 3, 2026
Modeling project criticality in project portfolios: Integration of risk propagation and benefit realization
LB
Libiao Bai
Xidian University
JL
Jie Li
Harbin University of Science and Technology
KZ
Kaimin Zhang
Chang'an University
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Key Points
Criticality modeling reveals how risk propagation affects overall project success and benefit realization within portfolios.
A 30% increase in risk can significantly reduce potential benefits across multiple projects within a portfolio.
Assessment of project portfolios focuses on understanding the interdependencies of risks and their propagation effects.
Enhancements in decision-making strategies are likely to arise from improved comprehension of project interactions.
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Bai et al. (Thu,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69a767f5badf0bb9e87e30c8
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2026.111873
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