Public health surveillance systems in Ethiopia are crucial for monitoring disease prevalence and implementing effective interventions. A Bayesian hierarchical model was developed to analyse surveillance data from multiple regions in Ethiopia. The model accounts for spatial and temporal variations using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. The Bayesian hierarchical model revealed a 20% reduction in diarrheal disease incidence rates across the monitored areas, with significant uncertainty around these estimates due to limited data variability. The study underscores the effectiveness of public health surveillance and intervention strategies in reducing specific diseases in Ethiopia. Further research should explore scalability and cost-effectiveness of the identified risk reduction measures. Bayesian hierarchical model, Public health surveillance, Risk reduction, Ethiopia Treatment effect was estimated with logit (pᵢ) =₀+^ Xᵢ, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.
Mulugeta Asfaw (Thu,) studied this question.