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March 21, 2026Конфликтология / nota bene0 citationsOpen Access

Transformation of the foreign policy course of the Russian Federation in Central Asia (2016–2023): the Ukrainian crisis as a factor in the differentiation of the region into an independent civilizational space

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ABArtem Dmitrievich BurkovCrimean State Engineering Pedagogical University

Key Points

  • The aim is to analyze changes in Russia's foreign policy in Central Asia due to the Ukrainian crisis.
  • Comparative analysis of 2016 and 2023 Foreign Policy Concepts
  • Descriptive analysis of primary sources such as transcripts and agreements
  • Assessment of policy implementation through statistical data
  • Key changes in Russia's approach to Central Asia were identified, shifting from a CIS-wide perspective.
  • The Ukrainian crisis acted as a catalyst, enhancing the focus on Central Asia as a unique entity.
  • Despite risks from sanctions, the 'Pivot to the East' facilitated practical cooperation and new economic frameworks.

Abstract

The subject of this study is the evolution of Russia's foreign policy in Central Asia (2016–2023) and the Ukrainian crisis's transformative impact on its doctrinal foundations. The object is Russia's foreign policy in the region. The author analyzes strategic planning dynamics, focusing on the transition from declarative intentions to the practical implementation of the "Pivot to the East." A comparative analysis of Russia's 2016 and 2023 Foreign Policy Concepts highlights key changes in the region's positioning. The paper explores how geopolitical tensions influence Moscow's priorities, investigating how bilateral and multilateral relations adapt to external pressure to form a new unified civilizational space. Methodologically, the research relies on comparing the aforementioned Concepts and descriptively analyzing primary sources (transcripts, agreements, statistical data) to assess policy implementation. The scientific novelty lies in a systematic conceptualization of Russia's foreign policy evolution, overcoming the fragmentation of existing approaches. The Ukrainian crisis is viewed as a direct catalyst for this regional transformation. The study traces the doctrinal shift from a generalized CIS-wide approach to recognizing Central Asia as a distinct politico-economic entity. A paradoxical effect of sanctions is identified: despite secondary economic shock risks, the forced intensification of the "Pivot to the East" expanded practical cooperation. The high adaptability of multilateral integration mechanisms (EAEU, SCO) enabled preserving ties and developing new niches (parallel imports, national currency settlements). Ultimately, the article substantiates that the "Pivot to the East" has transformed from a declarative construct into a coherent policy aimed at forming a unified civilizational space.

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Cite This Study

Artem Dmitrievich Burkov (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69be354a6e48c4981c67379fhttps://doi.org/10.7256/2454-0617.2026.1.78369
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