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Seymour Geisser, Aspects of the Predictive and Estimative Approaches in the Determination of Probabilities, Biometrics, Vol. 38, Proceedings of "Current Topics in Biostatistics and Epidemiology." A Memorial Symposium in Honor of Jerome Cornfield (Mar., 1982), pp. 75-85
Seymour Geisser (Mon,) studied this question.
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