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October 19, 2021Cardiovascular Diabetology123 citationsOpen Access

Optimal glucose, HbA1c, glucose-HbA1c ratio and stress-hyperglycaemia ratio cut-off values for predicting 1-year mortality in diabetic and non-diabetic acute myocardial infarction patients

CSChing‐Hui SiaMCMervyn Huan-Hao ChanHZHuili Zheng

Key Result

Stress-hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) was the most consistent independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality in STEMI patients (OR 2.20), whereas admission glucose was the best predictor in NSTEMI patients.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=9,946)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

P
Population
9,946 patients with acute myocardial infarction (5,841 STEMI and 4,105 NSTEMI) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention, followed for 1 year to assess mortality predictors.
O
Outcome
1-year all-cause mortalityhard clinical

Stress-hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) is the most consistent independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality in STEMI patients, while admission glucose is the best predictor in NSTEMI patients, highlighting the need for tailored glycaemic thresholds based on AMI type and diabetic status.

Main Result

Odds Ratio: 2.2 (95% CI 1.73–2.79)

Limitations

  • Selection bias is possible as more than half the patients in the database were excluded due to missing data
  • Retrospective study design cannot determine causality
  • Could not standardize the exact time acute glucose levels were measured within the first 24 hours of presentation
  • Did not have all variables to compute GRACE and TIMI risk scores to assess additive prognostic value

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Stress-induced hyperglycaemia at time of hospital admission has been linked to worse prognosis following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). In addition to glucose, other glucose-related indices, such as HbA1c, glucose-HbA1c ratio (GHR), and stress-hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) are potential predictors of clinical outcomes following AMI. However, the optimal blood glucose, HbA1c, GHR, and SHR cut-off values for predicting adverse outcomes post-AMI are unknown. As such, we determined the optimal blood glucose, HbA1c, GHR, and SHR cut-off values for predicting 1-year all cause mortality in diabetic and non-diabetic ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients. METHODS: We undertook a national, registry-based study of patients with AMI from January 2008 to December 2015. We determined the optimal blood glucose, HbA1c, GHR, and SHR cut-off values using the Youden's formula for 1-year all-cause mortality. We subsequently analyzed the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the cut-off values in the diabetic and non-diabetic subgroups, stratified by the type of AMI. RESULTS: There were 5841 STEMI and 4105 NSTEMI in the study. In STEMI patients, glucose, GHR, and SHR were independent predictors of 1-year all-cause mortality glucose: OR 2.19 (95% CI 1.74-2.76); GHR: OR 2.28 (95% CI 1.80-2.89); SHR: OR 2.20 (95% CI 1.73-2.79). However, in NSTEMI patients, glucose and HbA1c were independently associated with 1-year all-cause mortality glucose: OR 1.38 (95% CI 1.01-1.90); HbA1c: OR 2.11 (95% CI 1.15-3.88). In diabetic STEMI patients, SHR performed the best in terms of area-under-the-curve (AUC) analysis (glucose: AUC 63.3%, 95% CI 59.5-67.2; GHR 68.8% 95% CI 64.8-72.8; SHR: AUC 69.3%, 95% CI 65.4-73.2). However, in non-diabetic STEMI patients, glucose, GHR, and SHR performed equally well (glucose: AUC 72.0%, 95% CI 67.7-76.3; GHR 71.9% 95% CI 67.7-76.2; SHR: AUC 71.7%, 95% CI 67.4-76.0). In NSTEMI patients, glucose performed better than HbA1c for both diabetic and non-diabetic patients in AUC analysis (For diabetic, glucose: AUC 52.8%, 95% CI 48.1-57.6; HbA1c: AUC 42.5%, 95% CI 37.6-47. For non-diabetic, glucose: AUC 62.0%, 95% CI 54.1-70.0; HbA1c: AUC 51.1%, 95% CI 43.3-58.9). The optimal cut-off values for glucose, GHR, and SHR in STEMI patients were 15.0 mmol/L, 2.11, and 1.68 for diabetic and 10.6 mmol/L, 1.72, and 1.51 for non-diabetic patients respectively. For NSTEMI patients, the optimal glucose values were 10.7 mmol/L for diabetic and 8.1 mmol/L for non-diabetic patients. CONCLUSIONS: SHR was the most consistent independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality in both diabetic and non-diabetic STEMI, whereas glucose was the best predictor in NSTEMI patients.

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Cite This Study

Sia et al. (2021) conducted a cohort in Acute myocardial infarction (STEMI and NSTEMI) (n=9,946). Stress-hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) vs. SHR below optimal cut-off was evaluated on 1-year all-cause mortality (OR 2.20, 95% CI 1.73-2.79). Stress-hyperglycaemia ratio (SHR) was the most consistent independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality in STEMI patients (OR 2.20), whereas admission glucose was the best predictor in NSTEMI patients.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a22af6c98d141f28c14bf06https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-021-01395-3
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