This study analyses the impacts of winter storms on beach response, as well as the subsequent recovery during spring and summer, at a dissipative sandy beach in Brandon Bay, Ireland. Shoreline dynamics were assessed through the integration of field data from five survey campaigns conducted between October 2021 and November 2022 with a 1D Xbeach (version 1.23) numerical model. Cross-sectional profiles were measured at seven locations, revealing pronounced erosion during winter, followed by recovery in calmer seasons, especially in the lower beach zone. The model effectively simulated short-term storm-induced morphological changes, demonstrating that rates of shoreline retreat and profile alteration are higher in the eastern bay, where wave energy is greater. Most morphological changes occurred between the low and high astronomical tide marks, characterized by upper beach erosion and lower beach accretion. Models were subsequently employed to examine future climate scenarios, including sea level rise and increased storm intensity. The projections indicated an exponential increase in erosion rates, correlated with higher storm wave heights and frequencies. These results highlight the dynamic response of dissipative beaches to extreme events and reinforce the necessity for adaptive coastal management strategies to address the escalating risks posed by climate change.
Egon et al. (Wed,) studied this question.