Comparison of deep learning architectures for predicting amyloid positivity in Alzheimer’s disease, mild cognitive impairment, and healthy aging, from T1-weighted brain structural MRI

Abnormal β-amyloid (Aβ) accumulation in the brain is an early indicator of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and is typically assessed through invasive procedures such as PET (positron emission tomography) or CSF (cerebrospinal fluid) assays. As new anti-Alzheimer's treatments can now successfully target amyloid pathology, there is a growing interest in predicting Aβ positivity (Aβ+) from less invasive, more widely available types of brain scans, such as T1-weighted (T1w) MRI. Here we compare multiple approaches to infer Aβ + from standard anatomical MRI: (1) classical machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, XGBoost, and shallow artificial neural networks, (2) deep learning models based on 2D and 3D convolutional neural networks (CNNs), (3) a hybrid ANN-CNN, combining the strengths of shallow and deep neural networks, (4) transfer learning models based on CNNs, and (5) 3D Vision Transformers. All models were trained on paired MRI/PET data from 1,847 elderly participants (mean age: 75.1 yrs. ± 7.6SD; 863 females/984 males; 661 healthy controls, 889 with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and 297 with Dementia), scanned as part of the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. We evaluated each model's balanced accuracy and F1 scores. While further tests on more diverse data are warranted, deep learning models trained on standard MRI showed promise for estimating Aβ + status, at least in people with MCI. This may offer a potential screening option before resorting to more invasive procedures.