An Analysis of the Development Factors of Rail Freight Transport in Thailand: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach

The railway infrastructure projects in Thailand aim to shift transportation from roads to railways. This is crucial for transporting goods in emerging economies and increasing the demand for rail freight transport. However, several dynamic uncertainties hinder sustainable rail freight transport in Thailand. This study aims to identify the key factors and validate their effects on the success of the modal shift from roads to railways in Thailand. A total of 200 participants filled out a questionnaire delivered online and via postal service. The key factors were categorized into the following categories: the rail freight transport system, demand, and development factors in Thailand. The inter-relationship and connection of these factors were analyzed using SEM (structural equation modeling). The SEM results showed that all causal factors in the model had a positive influence on rail freight development in Thailand, which explained 98.3% of the variance in the factors influencing development. This study’s findings underscore the influential significance of rail performance, rail infrastructure, the legal framework, pricing, mode choice, and technology on the expansion of rail freight transport in Thailand. The rail freight transport system, rail performance, rail infrastructure, and Thailand’s rail infrastructure development strategy were significant direct predictors of rail freight expansion. An expansion of the rail freight transport system also leads to rail freight demand. The results of this study have positive implications for the government, railway practitioners, and policymakers to prioritize their focus on achieving rail freight transport as the national target.