Probing new physics at cosmic dawn with 21-cm cosmology

21-cm cosmology provides an exciting opportunity to probe new physics dynamics in the early universe. In particular, a tiny sub-component of dark matter that interacts strongly with the visible sector may cool the gas in the intergalactic medium and significantly alter the expected absorption signal at Cosmic Dawn. However, the information about new physics in this observable is obscured by astrophysical systematic uncertainties. In the absence of a microscopic framework describing the astrophysical sources, these uncertainties can be encoded in a bottom up effective theory for the 21-cm observables in terms of unconstrained astrophysical fluxes. In this paper, we take a first step towards a careful assessment of the degeneracies between new physics effects and the uncertainties in these fluxes. We show that the latter can be constrained by combining measurements of the UV luminosity function, the Planck measurement of the CMB optical depth to reionization, and an upper bound on the unresolved X-ray flux. Leveraging those constraints, we demonstrate how new physics signatures can be disentangled from astrophysical effects. Focusing on the case of millicharged dark matter, we find sharp predictions, with small uncertainties within the viable parameter space.1