Street-scale air quality modelling over the West Midlands, United Kingdom: Effect of idealised traffic reduction scenarios

Air pollution is the major environmental risk to human health. Road transport is one of the major sources for air pollution, particularly nitrogen dioxide, in urban areas, and hence traffic control is an important measure in air quality management. A street-scale air quality model, ADMS-Urban, was configured for a case study of the West Midlands, UK to represent a baseline year (2019). Model outputs were evaluated using hourly air pollutant measurement data, and the model demonstrates good performance overall. This modelling tool was then used to explore the effect of five hypothetical traffic reduction scenarios, ranging from 10% to 90% reduction in traffic activity; scenario impacts were analysed over a range of spatial resolutions. The impacts of traffic reduction are highly dependent on spatial resolution (i.e. street scale, electoral ward level and local authority level), which has to be taken into account when formulating policies for managing air quality on local and city-wide scales. There was an almost linear relationship between the predicted annual concentration and traffic reduction for both NO2 and PM2.5. Traffic reduction would principally reduce NO2 concentrations, with even very substantial changes in traffic having more limited effects on reducing PM2.5 concentrations reflecting the importance of regional and non-traffic PM2.5 sources.