Comparison of admission glycemic variability and glycosylated hemoglobin in predicting major adverse cardiac events among type 2 diabetes patients with heart failure following acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Abstract Background and Objectives Hyperglycemia is associated with adverse outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) as well as in patients with heart failure. However, the significance of admission glycemic variability (GV) in predicting outcomes among diabetes patients with heart failure (HF) following acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (ASTEMI) remains unclear. This study aims to explore the prognostic value of admission GV and admission glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels in individuals diagnosed with type 2 diabetes and HF following ASTEMI. Methods We measured GV and HbA1c upon admission in 484 consecutive patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes and HF following ASTEMI. GV, indicated as the mean amplitude of glycemic excursions (MAGE), was assessed utilizing a continuous glucose monitoring system (CGMS). admission MAGE values were categorized as < 3.9 or ≥ 3.9 mmol/L, while HbA1c levels were classified as < 6.5 or ≥ 6.5%. Participants were followed up prospectively for 12 months. The relationship of admission MAGE and HbA1c to the major adverse cardiac event (MACE) of patients with type 2 diabetes and HF following ASTEMI was analyzed. Results Among the 484 enrolled patients, the occurrence of MACE differed significantly based on MAGE categories (< 3.9 vs . ≥ 3.9 mmol/L), with rates of 13.6% and 25.3%, respectively ( P = 0.001). While MACE rates varied by HbA1c categories (< 6.5 vs . ≥ 6.5%) at 15.7% and 21.8%, respectively ( P = 0.086). Patients with higher MAGE levels exhibited a notably elevated risk of cardiac mortality and an increased incidence of HF rehospitalization. The Kaplan-Meier curves analysis demonstrated a significantly lower event-free survival rate in the high MAGE level group compared to the low MAGE level group (log-rank test, P < 0.001), while HbA1c did not exhibit a similar distinction. In multivariate analysis, high MAGE level was significantly associated with incidence of MACE (hazard ratio 3.645, 95% CI 1.287–10.325, P = 0.015), whereas HbA1c did not demonstrate a comparable association (hazard ratio 1.075, 95% CI 0.907-1.274, P = 0.403). Conclusions Elevated admission GV emerges as a more significant predictor of 1-year MACE in patients with type 2 diabetes and HF following ASTEMI, surpassing the predictive value of HbA1c.