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The research examines how internal upheaval in Iran may affect its relationships with India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.

February 6, 2026Open Access

Unrest In Iran And Its Possible Impacts On India, Pakistan, And Afghanistan

Key Points

The research examines how internal upheaval in Iran may affect its relationships with India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.
Analysis of geopolitical context and implications of unrest in Iran
Examination of regional relations among Iran, India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan
Exploration of potential policy shifts based on regime changes
Iran's internal changes may weaken its influence over neighboring countries
India may benefit from a more moderate regime in Iran
Pakistan seeks a strong Iranian government to combat regional militancy
A weaker Iranian regime could foster cooperation with Afghanistan on issues like trade and resource management

Abstract

Cornered by the U.S.-Israel airstrikes and left vulnerable by a mass uprising in early 2026, the Islamic regime in Iran will go through certain internal changes. These changes might weaken Tehran’s grip over the region. In this backdrop, its relation with neighbours, including India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, will shift. While India will be hoping for the emergence of a moderate regime that is open to talks with the USA, Pakistan will be hoping for a strong regime in Tehran that can put a hold on Baloch militants. On the other hand, an economically and militarily weaker government in Iran will be more inclined to cooperate with Afghanistan’s Taliban government on various issues, ranging from opium trade to water sharing.

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