Abstract Background: Women with a pathogenic variant in the BRCA1 or BRCA2 gene (carriers) are at a high risk of developing ovarian cancer and recommended to undergo bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy at an early age resulting in surgical menopause. Menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) is the most effective way to mitigate the adverse outcomes of early menopause; however, the safety of MHT on breast cancer risk in this population has not been established. Methods: We conducted a prospective matched analysis of MHT use following menopause (predominantly surgical) and breast cancer risk in BRCA carriers using a matched prospective analysis to emulate a randomized clinical trial. Women without a history of any cancer or bilateral mastectomy and who were enrolled in a longitudinal study with detailed data collection were eligible for inclusion. Women who initiated MHT (exposed) after menopause were matched one-to-one to women who had not initiated MHT (unexposed) by gene, year of birth, and age at menopause, resulting in 676 matched pairs. Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95%CIs (CI) of incident breast cancer associated with MHT use. Results: After a mean follow-up of 5.6 years from the date of first MHT use in the exposed woman, there were 87 incident breast cancer cases in the exposed group (12·9%) and 128 cases in the unexposed group (18·9%) (P = 0·002). Compared to their unexposed match, women who used estrogen (E) experienced a significant decrease in the risk of breast cancer (HR = 0·37; 95%: CI 0·24-0·57). There was no protective (or adverse) effect associated with the use of E plus progestogen (E+P) (HR = 0·94; 95%CI 0·54-1·63), with progestogen alone (P) (HR = 1·14; 95%CI: 0·21-6·22) or with tibolone (HR = 0·57; 95%CI: 0·19-1·69). There were no diagnoses of breast cancer in the 43 women who used a CEE + bazedoxifene. Findings were similar for carriers of either gene mutation. Conclusion: To our knowledge, this represents the largest prospective report of MHT use and breast cancer risk in BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers. Our findings showed no increase in the risk of breast cancer with the use of MHT, irrespective of gene mutation or formulation. These findings provide an evidence-based approach for the management of women at high-risk of breast cancer who are facing the acute and chronic effects of early surgical menopause. The safe use of MHT by BRCA carriers will continue to be an important research topic as formulations continue to evolve. Citation Format: J. Kotsopoulos, M. Seca, G. Jacek, T. Huzarski, P. Møller, R. H. Kim, C. Singer, B. Karlan, A. Aeilts, T. Ramon y Cajal, T. Pal, A. Eisen, L. Bordeleau, W. Foulkes, N. Tung, F. Couch, S. Neuhausen, D. Zakalik, C. Cybulski, O. Olopade, K. Metcalfe, R. Fruscio, P. Sun, J. Lubinski, S. Narod, Hereditary Breast Cancer Clinical Study Group. Menopausal Hormone Therapy and the Risk of Breast Cancer in Women with a Pathogenic Variant in BRCA1 or BRCA2 abstract. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr GS3-01.
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