Wildfire events are increasing in frequency and severity, creating an urgent need for early, accurate, and energy-efficient forest fire prediction systems that can operate at a large scale. A fundamental challenge in edge-level forest fire prediction lies in jointly achieving high detection accuracy while minimizing wireless transmissions and communication-related energy consumption. This paper proposes a communication-aware hierarchical wireless sensor network (WSN) framework that performs fire versus normal environmental state classification directly at the network edge. Multi-modal physical and constrained virtual sensor readings are fused into short-term temporal supervectors and processed locally using lightweight random forest classifiers deployed on sensor nodes and cluster heads. A temporal 2-of-3 voting mechanism is applied at the edge to suppress transient noise and improve prediction reliability before triggering communication. The proposed design enables selective, event-driven transmission, where only temporally validated abnormal states are forwarded through the hierarchy, thereby decoupling detection accuracy from continuous data reporting. Extensive experiments using real multi-modal environmental sensor data and statistically rigorous 5-fold GroupKFold cross-validation—ensuring strict node-level separation between training and testing—demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach. The proposed framework achieves a node-level accuracy of 98.82 ± 1.75% and a scenario-level detection accuracy of 96.52 ± 0.89%. Compared to periodic reporting and the LEACH protocol, the system reduces wireless transmissions by over 66% and communication-related energy consumption by more than 66% across network sizes ranging from 100 to 1000 nodes. The main contributions of this work are summarized as follows: (1) a communication-aware hierarchical Edge-AI framework for early forest fire prediction that performs local inference and temporal validation directly at sensor nodes; (2) a constrained virtual sensing strategy integrated with temporal supervector modeling to enhance spatial coverage while preserving reliability; and (3) a statistically rigorous large-scale evaluation demonstrating joint optimization of prediction accuracy, transmission reduction, and communication energy efficiency across network sizes ranging from 100 to 1000 nodes. These results show that accurate early forest fire prediction can be achieved through edge-level inference and selective communication, substantially extending network lifetime while maintaining statistically reliable detection performance.
Haque et al. (Fri,) studied this question.