Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 is seen as the culmination of its neoimperial foreign policy doctrine, which is based on its rejection of the collapse of the Soviet Union. This doctrine, reinforced by a monocentric authoritarian consolidation of power within the Russian Federation, was aimed at the reproduction of the Soviet geopolitical project. The article outlines the features of the transformation of the Russian Federation’s revisionist policy – from a tool of regional deterrence to a strategy of full-scale expansionism. The destructive consequences for the sovereignty of Eastern European states and the architecture of international security in general are analyzed. To this end, the study examines Russia’s use of “frozen conflicts” (Transnistria, Abkhazia, South Ossetia) as a strategy of desovereignization and destabilization of neighboring countries. This strategy is identified as one of the factors inhibiting the Euro-Atlantic integration of independent states. The analysis confirms that Russia’s policy of provoking conflicts is an active instrument of pressure and multi-dimensional expansion: military, financial, ideological, and others. The occupation of Ukraine’s Crimea and parts of Donbas in 2014-2015 led to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. This war became a fundamental challenge to international law, intensifying aggressiveness and testing new expansionist strategies in the region and the world. The research reveals that the failure of international institutions to effectively stop the aggressor has led to the establishment of chaos and state terror as effective, low-cost instruments of foreign policy. Frozen conflicts are an active instrument of Russia’s revisionist policy, capable of activation at any moment advantageous to it. They serve as a constant lever of military-political pressure, leading to the resource exhaustion of states and discrediting their sovereignty. This strategy effectively consolidates the Russian sphere of influence, blocks internal reforms, undermines territorial integrity, provokes humanitarian and migration crises, and neutralizes the full European integration of neighboring states. Although the aggression caused a systemic crisis and the export of chaos into the world order, it also creates conditions for the decomposition of Russian hegemony. However, neutralizing the Russian Federation’s revisionist ambitions requires both the use of existing instruments and a fundamental reform of international institutions capable of ensuring the supremacy of law over the right of force
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Василь Миколайович Яблонський
Вадим Сергійович Караваєв
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Яблонський et al. (Thu,) studied this question.