Impact of two decades of humanitarian and development assistance and the projected mortality consequences of current defunding to 2030: retrospective evaluation and forecasting analysis

Key Points

• Projected mortality consequences arise from defunding current humanitarian assistance and development programs, indicating potential crises ahead.
• Initial findings highlight significant threats to health and well-being due to a lack of funding, with projections extending to 2030.
• The analysis employs retrospective evaluation and forecasting methods to assess the impact of funding changes over two decades.
• These insights emphasize the urgent need for sustained financial support to prevent adverse health outcomes in vulnerable populations.