As Southeast Asia's largest economy and the world's fourth most populous nation, Indonesia stands at a critical juncture in its transportation evolution, confronting the dual imperative of mitigating severe urban air pollution and fulfilling its climate commitments under the Paris Agreement. This comprehensive prospectus systematically examines the strategic deployment of battery electric vehicles (BEVs), hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) as the nation pursues its ambitious net-zero emissions target by 2060. Through systematic analysis of technological pathways, policy frameworks, infrastructure prerequisites, and industrial development strategies, this study evaluates Indonesia's distinctive position to leverage its globally dominant nickel reserves (comprising 23% of the world's supply) and established automotive manufacturing base to potentially leapfrog conventional transportation development trajectories. The research presents an integrated assessment of current market dynamics, revealing that while electric vehicles currently constitute less than 0.1% of total vehicle sales, year-over-year growth rates exceeding 400% signal emergent market momentum. A multi-pillar strategic framework is developed encompassing: (1) comprehensive policy and regulatory reforms, including fuel subsidy rationalization and zero-emission vehicle mandates; (2) phased infrastructure deployment requiring an estimated USD 15 billion investment for a nationwide charging network and 8,000 battery-swap stations; (3) integrated industrial development leveraging domestic nickel resources to establish complete battery supply chains; (4) innovative financing mechanisms combining green bonds, carbon finance, and public-private partnerships; and (5) stakeholder engagement strategies addressing workforce transition and public awareness. The analysis demonstrates that achieving Indonesia's 2030 targets of 2.2 million electric cars and 13 million electric motorcycles would generate annual CO₂ reductions of 8.5-11.2 million tons, prevent approximately 1,800 premature deaths annually through improved air quality, create 303,000 new employment opportunities, and yield a net national benefit of USD 38.8 billion against a public investment of USD 23 billion, representing a benefit-cost ratio of 2.7:1. Particular attention is devoted to two-wheeler electrification strategies, given that motorcycles constitute 81% of Indonesia's 146-million-vehicle fleet, with battery-swapping ecosystems identified as a transformative mechanism for accelerating adoption. The prospectus concludes with an implementation roadmap from 2024 to 2050, a comprehensive risk assessment framework, and actionable policy recommendations, positioning Indonesia to emerge as a regional ASEAN hub for electric vehicle manufacturing while achieving a sustainable transportation transformation.
Samuel Darwisman (Tue,) studied this question.