Incremental Prognostic Value of Post-Stress Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction and Volume by Gated Myocardial Perfusion Single Photon Emission Computed Tomography

BACKGROUND: The incremental prognostic value of post-stress left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) and volume over perfusion has not been investigated. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 1680 consecutive patients who underwent rest Tl-201/stress Tc-99m sestamibi gated single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and who were followed-up for 569+/-106 days. Receiver-operator characteristics analysis defined an EF70 mL, and an end-diastolic volume >120 mL as optimal thresholds, yielding moderate sensitivity and high specificity in the prediction of cardiac death. Patients with an EF> or = 45% had mortality rates 70 mL and only mild/moderate perfusion abnormalities had high death rates (8.2%/year; P70 mL had high death rates (7.9%/year; P<0.02). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression showed that perfusion variables and ESV were independent predictors of overall coronary events, whereas EF and ESV demonstrated incremental prognostic values over prescan and perfusion information in predicting cardiac death and cardiac death or myocardial infarction. CONCLUSIONS: Post-stress EF and ESV by gated-SPECT have incremental prognostic values over prescan and perfusion information in predicting cardiac death, and they provide clinically useful risk stratification.