Current adolescent overweight is projected to result in 1.5 million life-years lost and $254 billion in cumulative excess costs among US adults aged 35-64 years between 2020 and 2050.
OBJECTIVES: We predicted the future economic burden attributable to high rates of current adolescent overweight. METHODS: We constructed models to simulate the costs of excess obesity and associated diabetes and coronary heart disease (CHD) among adults aged 35-64 years in the US population in 2020 to 2050. RESULTS: Current adolescent overweight is projected to result in 161 million life-years complicated by obesity, diabetes, or CHD and 1. 5 million life-years lost. The cumulative excess attributable total costs are estimated at 254 billion: 208 billion because of lost productivity from earlier death or morbidity and 46 billion from direct medical costs. Currently available therapies for hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes, used according to guidelines, if applied in the future, would result in modest reductions in excess mortality (decreased to 1. 1 million life-years lost) but increase total excess costs by another 7 billion (increased to 261 billion total). CONCLUSIONS: Current adolescent overweight will likely lead to large future economic and health burdens, especially lost productivity from premature death and disability. Application of currently available medical treatments will not greatly reduce these future burdens of increased adult obesity.
Lightwood et al. (Fri,) conducted a other in Adolescent overweight. Current adolescent overweight was evaluated on Cumulative excess attributable total costs and life-years lost. Current adolescent overweight is projected to result in 1.5 million life-years lost and $254 billion in cumulative excess costs among US adults aged 35-64 years between 2020 and 2050.
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