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Over the past half century, scholars utilized a variety of theoretical and method-ological approaches to study the attachment or identification voters have with polit-ical parties. However, models on partisan (in)stability ignore its bounded character. Making use of Mixed Latent Markov Models we measure change and stability of individual-level West German partisan identification captured over a 24 year period via the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSEOP). Results suggest that distinctive subpopulations exist, which follow different patterns of partisan stability. One party’s loss is not necessarily another party’s gain.
Neundorf et al. (Thu,) studied this question.