Assessment of Future Precipitation Changes in Mediterranean Climate Regions From CMIP6 Ensemble

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Annual mean cumulative precipitation is projected to decrease across all studied regions except northern California.
Consecutive dry days are expected to increase while consecutive wet days are anticipated to decrease universally.
Analysis utilizes the CMIP6 ensemble, covering areas including the Mediterranean Basin and California.
Despite model improvements, substantial variability exists in future precipitation projections across Mediterranean climates.

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Observational analysis examines precipitation projections in Mediterranean regions, suggesting significant decreases under climate change scenarios.

Tarín‐Carrasco et al. (2025) studied this question.

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Observational analysis examines precipitation projections in Mediterranean regions, suggesting significant decreases under climate change scenarios.