The Chinese economy has shown rapid growth throughout multiple decades, yet its growth rate has dramatically decreased since COVID-19 emerged. The combination of weak domestic demand and rising debt and a struggling property sector has led scholars to draw parallels between China's current economic situation and Japan's 'Lost Decades' period during the 1990s and 2000s when an asset bubble collapse caused extended stagnation. This paper investigates the similarities between Japan's past economic challenges and China's present-day economic difficulties. The paper demonstrates that China's economic slowdown stems from basic structural problems which include its dependence on real estate and high corporate and local government debt levels and declining household spending. This research employs a comparative case study methodology to evaluate secondary data from reliable sources regarding demand shortages and macroeconomic policy actions in Japan and China. The paper draws attention to Japan's stagnation period policy errors which included early fiscal tightening and delayed banking reforms to guide Beijing during its current economic difficulties. The research shows that historical comparisons remain relevant, but China can prevent a lost decade by fixing its core structural problems. The research reveals critical information about potential risks and policy alternatives that will determine China's sustainable recovery trajectory.
Junyi Liang (Tue,) studied this question.