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February 20, 2026Journal of the American College of Cardiology3 citations

Impact of Long-Term Cumulative Exposure to Wildfire Smoke PM2.5 on Cardiovascular Hospital Admissions Among Older Adults in the United States

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SZSiqi ZhangYWYongfei WangJWJing Wei

Key Result

Three-year average wildfire smoke PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased overall CVD hospitalization risk, peaking at moderate exposure levels (RR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.05).

Key Points

  • This study examines the link between long-term exposure to wildfire smoke PM2.5 and cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in older adults.
  • Analyzed data from 65.2 million U.S. Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 from 2017 to 2022.
  • Estimated wildfire smoke PM2.5 using a spatiotemporal model at 10 × 10 km resolution and assigned to beneficiaries' ZIP codes.
  • Used quasi-Poisson regressions to calculate relative risks (RRs) of CVD hospitalizations based on PM2.5 exposure levels.
  • Three-year average PM2.5 exposure correlated with increased CVD hospitalization risk; overall CVD RR: 1.04 (95% CI: 1.03-1.05).
  • Ischemic heart disease RR: 1.07 (95% CI: 1.06-1.09), and arrhythmias RR: 1.06 (95% CI: 1.04-1.07) observed at moderate exposure levels.
  • Cerebrovascular hospitalizations showed a consistent increasing trend with higher exposure, suggesting lower socioeconomic status beneficiaries may be more affected.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=65,200,000)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does long-term cumulative exposure to wildfire smoke PM2.5 increase first cardiovascular disease hospitalizations in older adults?

P
Population
65.2 million Medicare beneficiaries (aged ≥65 years) across the contiguous United States from 2017 to 2022.
I
Intervention
Long-term cumulative exposure to wildfire smoke PM2.5 (evaluated as 3-year average).
C
Comparator
Wildfire smoke PM2.5 exposures below the 1st percentile (0.08 μg/m3).
O
Outcome
First cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalizations.hard clinical

Long-term cumulative exposure to wildfire smoke PM2.5 is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular hospitalizations among older adults, highlighting the need for targeted public health strategies.

Main Result

Effect estimate: RR 1.04 (95% CI 1.03-1.05)

Abstract

As wildfires intensify in a warming climate, prolonged exposure to smoke-derived fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) poses significant health risks. However, the cardiovascular impacts of long-term cumulative exposure to smoke PM 2.5 remain understudied. This study sought to investigate associations between long-term cumulative exposure to wildfire smoke PM 2.5 and first cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalizations among U.S. Medicare beneficiaries and to assess potential effect modification by sociodemographic factors. This population-based cohort study analyzed 65.2 million Medicare beneficiaries (aged ≥65 years) across the contiguous United States from 2017 to 2022. Wildfire smoke PM 2.5 was estimated with the use of a spatiotemporal model at 10 × 10 km resolution and assigned to beneficiaries’ residential ZIP codes. We applied quasi-Poisson regressions to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs of CVD hospitalizations for each decile of wildfire smoke PM 2.5 concentrations, using exposures below the 1st percentile (0.08 μg/m 3 ) as reference. Three-year average wildfire smoke PM 2.5 was significantly associated with increased CVD hospitalization risk. We observed a nonlinear pattern peaking at moderate exposure levels (wildfire smoke PM 2.5 concentrations between 0.26 and 0.32 μg/m 3 ) for overall CVD (RR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.03-1.05), ischemic heart disease (RR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.06-1.09), and arrhythmias (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.04-1.07). Cerebrovascular hospitalizations showed an increasing trend across exposure levels. Beneficiaries of lower socioeconomic status were potentially more vulnerable. Long-term cumulative wildfire smoke PM 2.5 exposure is associated with elevated CVD hospitalization risk, varying by exposure levels and individual characteristics. These findings underscore the need for targeted public health strategies to mitigate cardiovascular risks among older adults with the occurrence of wildfires.

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Trending Research#4 this week

Published in JACC, this paper is highly topical and newsworthy due to its direct link between prolonged wildfire smoke exposure and increased cardiovascular hospitalizations, a growing public health concern.

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Cite This Study

Zhang et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalizations (n=65,200,000). Long-term cumulative exposure to wildfire smoke PM2.5 vs. Exposures below the 1st percentile (0.08 μg/m3) was evaluated on First cardiovascular disease (CVD) hospitalizations (RR 1.04, 95% CI 1.03-1.05). Three-year average wildfire smoke PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased overall CVD hospitalization risk, peaking at moderate exposure levels (RR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.05).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6997b911baf9c852d8c25e65https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2025.12.079
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