Poor aEEG background recovery after perinatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy predicts postneonatal epilepsy by age 4 years

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the accuracy of neonatal amplitude-integrated electroencephalography (aEEG) brain monitoring for predicting development of postneonatal epilepsy after perinatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). METHODS: We studied a population-based cohort of 85 consecutive neonates with moderate-to-severe HIE that had aEEG started <12 hours postnatally. We marked electrographic seizures and graded each hour of the aEEG background as inactive, burst-suppression, or continuous without or with sleep cycling. These aEEG parameters were compared to outcome at 4-years age (deceased, epilepsy, cerebral palsy without epilepsy, favorable), which was available for 80 children. RESULTS: At group level, total seizure burden (p = 0.003), maximum hourly seizure burden (p = 0.007), and aEEG background recovery (p < 0.001) were all significantly associated with outcome. At individual level six children developed epilepsy, and the most accurate predictors for later epilepsy were inactive aEEG at 24 hours (accuracy 97%, positive predictive value 100%, two false negatives) and inactive aEEG at the onset of seizures (accuracy 97%, sensitivity of 100%, one false positive). CONCLUSIONS: At individual level aEEG background recovery was a better predictor for later epilepsy than neonatal seizures, although both were associated with epilepsy at group level. SIGNIFICANCE: Poor aEEG background recovery predicts development of epilepsy after perinatal HIE at individual level.