A novel DCC-LSTM model trained on a Borderline-SMOTE balanced dataset achieved a recognition accuracy of 96.38% for minor lost circulation, improving accuracy by up to 6.76% over common models.
An integrated machine learning framework using Borderline-SMOTE and DCC-LSTM significantly improves the accuracy of detecting minor lost circulation during complex oil and gas drilling.
Effect estimate: 6.76% maximum accuracy increase
During complex oil and gas drilling, minor lost circulation is a common yet hard-to-monitor downhole incident, and its accurate detection facilitates the timely implementation of on-site well control measures to mitigate economic losses caused by such incidents. Two primary reasons contribute to this challenge: first, the scarcity of lost circulation data compared to normal drilling data leads to severe class imbalance; second, conventional intelligent monitoring methods fail to capture long-term data trends. To develop classification capabilities, intelligent monitoring models must learn from samples composed of data segments extracted from data sequences corresponding to normal drilling and minor lost circulation. However, the aforementioned two issues impair the models’ ability to extract and identify the feature of minor lost circulation. To address these dual challenges, this study introduces an integrated framework. First, a training sample class balancing method based on the Borderline-Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (Borderline-SMOTE) is proposed, which generates synthetic data specifically for samples near the decision boundary between normal drilling and minor lost circulation. Second, a novel recognition model combining Dilated Causal Convolution (DCC) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks is developed to effectively capture long-range dependencies in sensor data. Notably, this study considers both sample class balance and model design as key factors influencing monitoring accuracy and proposes innovative solutions for each, in contrast to previous studies that focused only on one of these aspects. Experimental results on field data show that the proposed DCC-LSTM model achieves a recognition accuracy of 96.38%. When trained on the balanced dataset, six common intelligent models (k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN), decision tree, random forest, LSTM, Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and DCC-LSTM) exhibit significant performance improvements, with a maximum accuracy increase of 6.76%. The proposed method can be applied for minor lost circulation recognition in scenarios with limited samples, and is expected to be extended to other drilling anomaly detection tasks or complex downhole condition monitoring in the future.
Sun et al. (Tue,) conducted a other in Lost circulation during oil and gas drilling. Borderline-SMOTE and DCC-LSTM model vs. kNN, decision tree, random forest, LSTM, GRU was evaluated on Recognition accuracy (6.76% maximum accuracy increase). A novel DCC-LSTM model trained on a Borderline-SMOTE balanced dataset achieved a recognition accuracy of 96.38% for minor lost circulation, improving accuracy by up to 6.76% over common models.
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