Key points are not available for this paper at this time.
Abstract To date, national‐ and regional‐scale flood risk assessments have provided valuable information about the annual expected consequences of flooding, but not the exposure to widespread concurrent flooding that could have damaging consequences for people and the economy. We present a new method for flood risk assessment that accommodates the risk of widespread flooding. It is based on a statistical conditional exceedance model, which is fitted to gauged data and describes the joint probability of extreme river flows or sea levels at multiple locations. The method can be applied together with data from models for flood defence systems and economic damages to calculate a risk profile describing the probability distribution of economic losses or other consequences aggregated over a region. The method has the potential to augment national or regional risk assessments of expected annual damage with new information about the likelihoods, extent and impacts of events that could contribute to the risk.
Building similarity graph...
Analyzing shared references across papers
Loading...
Rob Lamb
Caroline Keef
Jonathan A. Tawn
Journal of Flood Risk Management
Lancaster University
Environment Agency
Jeremy Benn Associates (United Kingdom)
Building similarity graph...
Analyzing shared references across papers
Loading...
Lamb et al. (Fri,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0eb6e3a14f152feaf9befa — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1753-318x.2010.01081.x