Enhancing Performance Prediction Robustness by Combining Analytical Modeling and Machine Learning

Classical approaches to performance prediction rely on two, typically antithetic, techniques: Machine Learning (ML) and Analytical Modeling (AM). ML takes a black box approach, whose accuracy strongly depends on the representativeness of the dataset used during the initial training phase. Specifically, it can achieve very good accuracy in areas of the features' space that have been sufficiently explored during the training process. Conversely, AM techniques require no or minimal training, hence exhibiting the potential for supporting prompt instantiation of the performance model of the target system. However, in order to ensure their tractability, they typically rely on a set of simplifying assumptions. Consequently, AM's accuracy can be seriously challenged in scenarios (e.g., workload conditions) in which such assumptions are not matched.