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The sensitivity of the global ocean circulation to changes in surface heat flux forcing is studied using the Hamburg Large Scale Geostrophic (LSG) ocean circulation model. The simulated mean ocean circulation for appropriately chosen surface forcing fields reproduces the principal water mass properties, residence times, and large-scale transport properties of the observed ocean circulation quite realistically within the constraints of the model resolution. However, rather minor changes in the formulation of the high-latitude air–sea heat flux can produce dramatic changes in the structure of the ocean circulation. These strongly affect the deep-ocean overturning rates and residence times, the oceanic heat transport, and the rate of oceanic uptake of CO2. The sensitivity is largely controlled by the mechanism of deep-water formation in high latitudes. The experiments support similar findings by other authors on the sensitivity of the ocean circulation to changes in the fresh-water flux and are consistent with the existence of multiequilibria circulation states with a relatively low transition threshold.
Maier‐Reimer et al. (Thu,) studied this question.