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I argue that at least one of the following propositions is true: (1) the human species is very likely to become extinct before reaching a ‘posthuman’ stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of its evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we shall one day become posthumans who run ancestor‐simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation. I discuss some consequences of this result.
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Nick Bostrom (Tue,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69d8101666a29169b4bee0e4 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9213.00309
Nick Bostrom
The Philosophical Quarterly
University of Oxford
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