The HEART score provided excellent discrimination for 30-day major adverse coronary events, outperforming the TIMI score (C-statistic 0.83 vs 0.75; P<0.01).
Observational (n=2,906)
Yes
2,906 patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency departments of 14 hospitals in the Asia-Pacific region, assessed for 30-day major adverse coronary events.
HEART score vs TIMI score
30-day major adverse coronary events (MACE) — C-statistic 0.83 (0.81-0.85), p=< 0.01
Effect estimate: C-statistic 0.83 (95% CI 0.81-0.85)
Absolute Event Rate: 0.83% vs 0.75%
p-value: p=< 0.01
OBJECTIVE: The HEART score for the early risk stratification of patients presenting to the emergency department with chest pain contains 5 elements: history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and troponin. It has been validated in The Netherlands. The purpose of this investigation was to perform an external validation of the HEART score in an Asia-Pacific population. METHODS: Data were used from 2906 patients presenting with chest pain to the emergency departments of 14 hospitals. HEART scores were determined retrospectively. Three risk groups were composed based on previous research. The predictive values for the occurrence of 30-day major adverse coronary events (MACE) were assessed. A comparison was made with the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) score in terms of the value of C-statistics. RESULTS: The low-risk group, HEART score ≤ 3, consisted of 820/2906 patients (28.2%). Fourteen (1.7%) patients were incorrectly defined as low risk (false negatives). The high-risk population, HEART score 7-10, consisted of 464 patients (16%) with a risk of MACE of 43.1%. The C-statistics were 0.83 (0.81-0.85) for HEART and 0.75 (0.72-0.77) for TIMI (P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Utilization of the HEART score provided excellent determination of risk for 30-day MACE, comparing well with the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction score. This study externally validates previous findings that HEART is a powerful clinical tool in this setting. It quickly identifies both a large proportion of low-risk patients, in whom early discharge without additional testing goes with a risk of MACE of only 1.7%, and high-risk patients who are potential candidates for early invasive strategies.
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A. Jacob Six
Ziekenhuis Groep Twente
Louise Cullen
Roskilde University
Barbra E. Backus
Cardiac Imaging
Critical Pathways in Cardiology A Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine
University Medical Center Utrecht
Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital
Christchurch Hospital
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Six et al. (Sat,) conducted a observational in Chest pain (n=2,906). HEART score vs. TIMI score was evaluated on 30-day major adverse coronary events (MACE) (C-statistic 0.83, 95% CI 0.81-0.85, p=< 0.01). The HEART score provided excellent discrimination for 30-day major adverse coronary events, outperforming the TIMI score (C-statistic 0.83 vs 0.75; P<0.01).
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a22cd57dc671561e186c311 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/hpc.0b013e31828b327e