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A quantum-statistical theory is developed for a single-atom, three-state quantum system where a strong (1-3) and a weak (2-3) transition are driven resonantly by an incoherent field. From a second-order correlation function of the fluorescence intensity, it is concluded that a quantum jump can occur, in the sense that the single atom can undergo large fluctuations between a state of full emission in the strong transition to a state of no emission when the electron is shelved in the metastable state (2).
Schenzle et al. (Sat,) studied this question.