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Studies have shown that the urbanization of a catchment can drastically change the flood characteristics of a river. Published results are synthesized to show the general relationship between the increase in flood flows following urbanization and both the percentage of the basin paved and the flood recurrence interval. In general, (1) floods with a return period of a year or longer are not affected by a 5% paving of their catchment, (2) small floods may be increased by 10 times by urbanization, (3) floods with a return period of 100 yr may be doubled in size by a 30% paving of the basin, and (4) the effect of urbanization declines, in relative terms, as flood recurrence intervals increase.
G. E. Hollis (Sun,) studied this question.