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OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that a low rate of change of platelet counts (PCs) after admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) is associated with mortality. Low PCs are known to be associated with disease severity in critically ill patients, but the relevance of time-dependent changes of PCs has not been investigated. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: A 12-bed surgical ICU of a university hospital. PATIENTS: All adult patients admitted to the ICU for at least 4 days during a 7-yr period. INTERVENTIONS: At admission, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation scores were calculated. PCs and leukocyte counts were analyzed from admission to day 10. The daily rise of the PCs (deltaPC/deltat from day 2 to day 10 was calculated. Rates for 30-day mortality as well as hospital mortality were determined. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 1,415 admissions were studied. Median PCs (interquartile range) initially decreased and subsequently increased, with a higher PC in 1,203 survivors than in 212 nonsurvivors from day 2 onward (302 range,181-438 x 10(3)/mm3/day vs. 129 range, 62-228 x 10(3)/mm3 at day 10; p < 0.001). After stratification of patients per type of surgery, within each group PC was also higher in survivors. Mean deltaPC/deltat was more than five times higher in survivors compared with nonsurvivors: 30 +/- 46 x 10(3)/mm3/day vs. 6 +/- 28 x 10(3)/mm3/day (p < 0.001). The area under the receiving operating characteristic curve of deltaPC/deltat for 30-day survival was 0.743 compared with 0.728 for the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation. Leukocyte counts showed marginal differences between nonsurvivors and survivors. CONCLUSION: A blunted or absent rise in PCs in critically ill patients is associated with increased mortality. deltaPC/deltat is a readily available and simple parameter to improve assessment of critically ill patients.
Nijsten et al. (Fri,) studied this question.